Dikson is Russia’s northern most settlement. It is situated on the Kara Sea near the
mouth of the Yenisei River. This tundra region is an Arctic desert and its climate was
cooling until human interventions created a major warming tipping point in the
1970’s.
Over the next four decades, Diksons’s decadal average annual temperatures warmed
6.54 degrees Fahrenheit. This is about 8 times faster than the Earth’s average annual
rate of 2 degrees over the past 100 years.
My book, Arctic Blue Deserts, brought to the forefront a now viable Russian
hypotheses for warming the climate. I believe my analysis of Arctic weather data from
NOAA’s global climatological collection, exposes how human experimentation with the
hydrologic cycle has caused cataclysmic irreversible turning points in the Arctic
climate. (See Figure. 1)
For example, Dikson’s decadal average six month winter precipitation was only 1.31
inches from 1940 to 1949 and increased to an average of 6.74 inches during the 1960
to 2019 period. Dikson’s decadal average six month summer precipitation during these
six decades was 7.87 inches, which is relatively unchanged from the 1950’s decadal
average of 8.09 inches. (See Tables 1 and 2)
Russia built seven inland sea-sized hydroelectric reservoirs between 1950 and 1980 on
the Angara, Yenisei, Irtysh, and Ob rivers whose waters flow into the Kara Sea near the
Dikson weather station. (See Figure 2) These reservoirs absorb and store the sun’s
energy. The warm winter dam discharges in contact with the super cold air and
regulated winter river flows, typically 4 to 8 times greater than natural flows are all
designed to produce an inexhaustible supply of water vapor emissions to increase
winter humidity levels in order to warm the Arctic.
I have separated the weather data into pre-dam and post-dam segments, or by
tipping points (rather abrupt permanent changes in the weather data) and then break
these sections down into six month summer (May-October) and winter (January-April
and November December) periods. This has provided the analytical pathway to help
identify the human drivers causing the Siberian winters to now be much warmer and
wetter but usually leaving the summer climate conditions relatively unchanged. For
example, the pre-dam Bratsk average six month winter temperature of 5.23 degrees
Fahrenheit increased to 10.36 degrees , post dam. At Krasnoyarsk the pre-dam
average winter precipitation of 3.12 inches almost doubled in the post-dam period to
5.70 inches. (See Tables 3-6)
Nature never possessed regulating faucets like the large human gates on these dams
suppressing and storing the spring run-off. Now, that humans have disrupted the
hydrologic cycle in the most climate sensitive region of the earth, the weather data
appears to be saying that Arctic warming may be a major driver of global warming.
My Essays “The Soviet Union Is Using Water Vapor Emissions to Warm the Arctic”
and ”The Soviet Union’s 1958 Blueprint to Increase Arctic Humidity” document the
Soviet Union’s 1950 hypotheses and its desire to weaken the Siberian High for its
national interest.
SMK/rdw arcticbluedeserts.com Essay 1-2023 By Stephen Kasprzak 4/7/23
Figure 1
Figure 2
Table 1 Dikson, RS, Station No.
RSM00020674
Temperature Data from NOAA Record of Climatological
Observation Decadal Average Annual Temperature Fahrenheit (F)
Pre-Mega Dams Post-Mega Dams
1936-1939 14.24 1970-1979 9.91
1940-1949 14.13 1980-1989 11.87
1950-1959 11.82 1990-1999 11.69
1960-1969 9.69 2000-2009 12.85
2010-2019 16.45
2020-2022 17.40
In the 1970’s, a major turning point occurred in Dikson’s decadal average annual
temperatures as they cooled 4.44 degrees Fahrenheit in the prior three decades
from14.13 to 9.69 degrees. Then, over the next four decades, the decadal